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SciFi (08.02.2020 13:04, просмотров: 161) ответил Палыч на Что за хрень с подсчётом смертности от короновируса? Какие ещё 2 процента!?
Интересное чтиво по ссылке --> https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/exe552/coronavirus_faq_misconceptions_information_from_a/
Для паникёров есть успокаивающий аргумент:
But before you freak out, there's a bright spot. We CAN also put an upper bound with a fair amount of certainty on the general death rate. How? Because there have been enough cases reported globally already, and enough data from the patients OUTSIDE of China, that we can tell the death rate is NOT anywhere near 10% with a strong degree of certainty (many patients have recovered, and are just awaiting the viral test all-clear before they can be discharged. Most other patients are in stable and recovering condition). Edit: I'm going to take out the actual back of the envelope illustration I was using here, because it's been rightfully criticized as being over-simplistic to the point of misleading. I still believe that the fact that global death rates remain very low is encouraging and can be used to remove extremely high death rate arguments, however, even adjusted for quality of care and health of the traveling population.
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